First principles

A rise in EUR/USD means one euro purchases more dollars. Separate a broad dollar move from a euro-specific one by checking other currency pairs. The BIS institutional turnover survey also shows why hedging and swaps matter alongside spot speculation.

A repeatable process

Read the Fed and ECB primary decisions, note the date and expected path, and record two plausible explanations before looking at the day’s eventual price chart. Our expanded EUR/USD guide includes a three-column event worksheet.

What this page does not claim

No live exchange rate, forecast or executable spread is supplied. A correct macro story does not guarantee a profitable trade when spread, leverage and timing are considered.